Model Issues
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JoPapp commented
The following issues have been identified in the latest version of the JRC TEMBA model.
- In Libya. huge wind (CF 39%) and solar investments
- Namibia´s hydropower potential is unknown so I dont know if the future hydro capacity is correct.
- Uganda. High water consumption for biomass that fades. Why?
- Liquifaction in RSA to be added exogeniously. May need to alter the GHG target later (i.e. SASOL are big emitters).
- No Gas in Angola seems odd
- Botswana Solar is too large.
- Benin hydro capacity
- CAR Has odd water consumption in the first few years.
- Ivory Coast. Dropping out of gas seems odd.
- Cameroon. Why does it use gas and not coal. While the IVC uses coal?
- Demand in Algeria looks wrong.
- Ghana's water consumption seems very high for gas (compared to coal) for the first few years.
- Kenya has too much wind and solar (i.e. intermittents.)
- Senegal's demand from 2020-3039 seems wrong.
- Somalia solar PV capacity factor is wrong. There is not enough PV to cover night time demand in the results.
- Capacity for Coal in the first few year in Swaziland is wrong. There is too little reported. (See the new capacity investment that is not reflected).
- Swaziland water withdrawals look off in the first few years.
- Chad. All demand met with intermittent RET.
- Tanzania. Investment in Solar is way to high. Need to limit that. TZN has both coal and gas
- Zambia. Too much solar.
- Zimbabwe has a little too much solar.
- It appears that there are no coal exports from the model. RSA is one of the world's biggest coal exporters. Can add this exogeniously together with coal liquifaction later.
- Water consumption for MOrocco in 2023 (coal) needs to be changed. its very high. This is not a critical error. We can just change the numbers in the model results.(2308_REF)
- The refineries in Libya are behaving weirdly. The crude oil refined in the country reduces to close to zero in 2034 and then increases (2308_REF)
- REF: General observation: in many cases Solar PV entering the system in 2030's. Why not before?
- REF: Angola- closure of 520 MW of gas power and investment in 770 MW of coal power- all during the increase in gas extraction- why?
- Biomass power cooling technology- from the numbers it seems as if in many cases (Angola, Burkina Faso, Congo...) the technology is once through using freshwater. Can we expect this since biomass power plants are usually constructed close to the source of biomass and not necessarily close to water source?
- REF: Central African Republic- oil electricity generation is decreasing in early 2020's, but water withdrawal in the same fime is more than doubled- why?
- REF: Congo People Republic- oil refineries have their own oil power plants- should there be oil power generation then also after 2055?
- REF: Algeria- since 2011 there is a hybrid CSP (25 MW) + CCGT (130 MW) plant Hassi R'Mel, but there is no CSP in the scenario. Is this a part of gas?
- REF: Algeria- if coal power enters the system in 2045, why is there a switch from coal mining to coal import in 2051?
- REF: Egypt- 2040 and onwards- why is oil power substituting gas power while in the same time oil extraction reduces and gas extraction increases?
- REF: Nigeria- why is Nigeria closing oil power when oil extraction is in increase?