/YijunWang

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YijunWang

Feb 10, 2020

I am making changes to Model 1: Estimation of R0: To do:

  • mathmatical proof (latex)
  • limitation: p value is the true parameter value
  • major conclusion: after 1.23 Wuhan lockdown, R0 keeps rising due to 5 million people left Wuhan and quarantine at home causes infection from within family unit. However, the declining of R0 recently shows the effectiveness of government policy: social and non-pharmaceutical prevention
  • sensitivity analysis (table)
  • confidence interval or alternative Tg value?

Model 2 is in progress