/2019-nCoV-Fit

SIR and SEIR model fitting for 2019-nCoV.

Primary LanguagePython

2019-nCoV-Fit

SIR and SEIR model fitting for 2019-nCoV.

Model and Method

SIR model and SEIR model. Pleas search on internet for more details of these infectious disease models.

Fitting method: Self defined grid search method to find all minimum value. See the grid_search function in fit.py for details.

Data

Data source: https://3g.dxy.cn/newh5/view/pneumonia

Result

y axis:people

x axis:days (origin point is 2020-12-8)

2020-01-25-01:01

SIR model fittng:

SIR模型

2020-01-25-23:53

SIR model fittng:

高预测:

SIR模型

低预测:

SIR模型

2020-01-25-10:28

SIR model fittng:

高预测:

SIR模型

中预测:

SIR模型

低预测:

SIR模型

2020-01-25-02:07

SIR model fittng:

SIR模型

2020-01-24-11:57

SIR model fittng:

SIR模型