clearmatics/mobius

Analyse probability of linking input to output through a ring, or multiple rings

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For example:

  • Alice Deposits into a Ring of size 4 (A)
  • All inputs are Withdrawn into 4 other Rings (B, C, D & E), each of size 4.
  • This requires 12 additional Deposits.

When a Withdrawal is made from A, the probability that it is Alice is 1/4.

When a Withdrawal is made from B, C, D or E the probability that it is Alice is at least 1/16.

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