Make model prediction-ready
AlexAndorra opened this issue · 0 comments
AlexAndorra commented
My next steps to make the model appropriate for predictions are:
- add popularity and econ variables as predictors (i.e, fundamentals)
- add pollsters' historial biases
- add the number of undecideds to the model
- add the hierarchical structure for past elections
[ ] developMvZeroSumNormal
to estimate the covariance between parties (for now it works -- see commented lines in the model -- but is sub-efficient sampling-wise because the centered parametrization would work better)