pollsposition/models

Make model prediction-ready

AlexAndorra opened this issue · 0 comments

My next steps to make the model appropriate for predictions are:

  • add popularity and econ variables as predictors (i.e, fundamentals)
  • add pollsters' historial biases
  • add the number of undecideds to the model
  • add the hierarchical structure for past elections
  • [ ] develop MvZeroSumNormal to estimate the covariance between parties (for now it works -- see commented lines in the model -- but is sub-efficient sampling-wise because the centered parametrization would work better)