/Credit-Delinquency-Analysis-Regression-LIME-SHAP

Credit delinquency analysis on borrower information and historical records using classical and advanced regression techniques along with LIME,SHAP.

Primary LanguageJupyter NotebookMIT LicenseMIT

Credit Delinquent Preditive Analysis

Business Context

Banks generate revenue primarily by lending money to borrowers. To maximize profits and maintain a good reputation, they need to identify borrowers who may have trouble repaying their loans. When borrowers fail to make payments, we often categorize them as "delinquent" or "defaulted."

  • Delinquent borrowers are slightly behind on their payments.
  • Defaulted borrowers have been behind for a long time and are unlikely to repay.
  • This project aims to identify borrowers likely to default in the next two years after being seriously delinquent for more than three months.
  • We use various borrower characteristics and historical data to predict this risk.
  • These predictions help banks take proactive measures.

Objective

Build a model using borrower information and historical records to predict serious delinquency within the next two years.


Tech Stack

  • Language: Python
  • Libraries:
    • Pandas, Matplotlib, NumPy, Scikit Learn, Imblearn
    • Shap and LIME for model interpretation.
    • Keras