Financial Signals Analysis

Setup and Installation

  • From sandbox grab two other dependencies for the E-Trade API
    • xstream
    • commons-httpclient-contrib-ssl

Scope and Approach

  • Using the Monte-Carlo method to analyze risk for the equities markets.
    • Limits range to two sigma to bound the range of possibility within a given certainty for the model.
    • Might try to use other optimization factors and methods.
  • Currently focused on the technologies industries.

Tickers

Using one to two of the largest in each industry subset with a few exceptions.

Ticker Industry
AMZN Internet Services
GOOGL Internet Services
FB Internet Services
AAPL Consumer Goods
MSFT Business Software
IBM Business Software
ORCL Business Software

Outline

Using historical data try to predict how the stock will move in the future

  • Given a ticker/company, analyze historical data and predict movement using relevant factors
  • Potential factors to consider:
    • Global events
    • Political events
    • Foreign affairs
    • Quarterly reports
    • Fed Meetings, rate hike, etc.
    • Deviation from indexes or tickers in same industry
  • Aiming for long term trading, profitability in weeks/months timeframe