/BaltimoreCrimeAnalyis

Baltimore Violent Crime Trends from 2017 to 2022

Primary LanguageJupyter Notebook

DATA601 Introduction to Data Science Project 1

Report: Baltimore Violent Crime Trends from 2017 to 2022

Professor: Samantha Luckhardt

Student: Lalith Avinash Donkina, Apurva Padwal


Report Aim

The aim of this report is to analyze trends in violent crimes such as Aggregated Assault, Homicide, and Shooting in various neighborhoods of Baltimore City over the last 5 years. Additionally, it aims to highlight the top 5 neighborhoods with the highest increase and decrease in violent crimes.

Data

Data was sourced from the Open Baltimore site managed by the City of Baltimore. The dataset was filtered to include information on homicides, shootings, and aggravated assaults that occurred between 2017 and 2022.

Total Crime Categories and Count from 2017 to 2022

Change in Violent Crimes 2017 to 2022

Total Violent Crime Distribution

Crime Across Neighborhoods over Time

Most Crime Increasing and Decreasing Neighborhoods

Results

Top 5 neighborhoods with Net Increasing crime rate:

  • Wrenlane
  • York-Homeland
  • Medfield
  • Belair-Parkside
  • Orchard Ridge

Top 5 neighborhoods with Net Decreasing crime rate:

  • Perkins Homes
  • Fairmont
  • Overlea
  • Kresson
  • Roland Park

Hypothesis

The observed trends in Baltimore City's neighborhoods suggest hypotheses for the varying crime rates. In areas experiencing increasing crime, economic disparities, higher population density, and a potential lack of effective community engagement may contribute. Meanwhile, neighborhoods with decreasing crime may benefit from successful community policing initiatives, economic development efforts, and improved infrastructure. The impact of demographic changes and law enforcement strategies on crime rates could also be significant across all neighborhoods. Further investigation into these factors, both individually and in combination, is essential for a nuanced understanding of the dynamics influencing crime trends in Baltimore.