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What Makes a Top 10 NBA Draft Pick?

Analyzing Player Attributes from Top 10 NBA First Round Draft Picks

Author: Chidvi Doddi

Project Abstract

Every June, the National Basketball Association (NBA) holds a draft, where each of the thirty teams have an oppurtunity to select two top prospects to join their organization. With only two rounds in the draft - and only two chances per team - it is crucial that a team does proper research, scouting, and analysis to ensure that their draft picks have a significant impact on their odds at winning a championship.

Using the NBA data API for all players currently in the league, I will examine top 10 draft picks and see how they compare to all players in the league. Then, I will make use of various individual player attributes to determine what properties correlate to top NBA draft picks. After having read through our data analysis, I hope that you will understand the importance of research and scouting that NBA teams undergo in selecting top draft picks.

Project Outline

  1. Project Introduction
  • A. Libraries and Dependencies
  • B. Data Sources
  • C. Importing and Examining the Dataset
  • D. Getting Top 10 Draft Picks
  • E. Various Data Trends of Top 10 Draft Picks
  1. Exploring Top 10 Draft Picks
  • A.How Many Current NBA Players Are Top 10 Draft Picks?
  • B. How Many Current NBA Players Are Not Top 10 Draft Picks?
  • C. Top 10 Draft Picks by Position
  • D. Top 10 Draft Picks by Size
  • E. Top 10 Draft Picks by Place of Origin
  1. Analysis of Top 10 Draft Picks' Attributes
  • A. What Attributes Matter Most?
  • B. Reducing and Comparing Attributes
  1. Finding Key Attributes Using Multiple Linear Regression
  • A. Null Hypothesis Testing
  • B. Using SciKit-Learn and StatsModel for Regression Model
  1. Predicting the Ideal Draft Pick Based on Player Attributes with ML
  • A. Training and Testing
  1. Project Conclusion
  • A. Closing Statement About Attributes
  • B. Closing Statement About Draft Pick Prediction
  • C. Final Thoughts & Other Resources