/Covid19TrendAnalysis

Naive trend analysis for Covid 19

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Covid-19 Trend Analysis

This project serves as an example of a self contained analysis project for my students. It contains a few files that automatically download available data from the John Hopkins repository on Covid-19 (for as long as that's available). It then constructs a figure that shows the actual numbers and a naive smoother for delay-adjusted data

Delay adjustment

The delay adjustment is naive: I just looked for the first day where total confirmed cases exceeded 100, and used that as "day zero" for every country. This allows to compare to some minor extent how the epidemic evolves from the moment a substantial amount of cases is detected in a country

DISCLAIMER: THIS IS NOT MEANT TO BE SCIENTIFICALLY SOUND. IT IS NOT. DO NOT USE THIS FOR ANY PROPER SCIENTIFIC WORK

Origin of the data.

The data comes from the Data Repository by Johns Hopkins CSSE

https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

Thank you very much for this, @CSSEGISandData !