/mls

A collection of programs to grind on Stats.

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mls

A collection of programs to grind on Stats.

2020East.swft

An anlysis of the Eastern Division of "The MLS is Back" Tournament.

This program uses the monte carlo method to determin the probabilties that a team will advance to the group of 16 in the easter division. The western division is relatively simple with a ~66% chance.

This program has the following known, but relatively unimportant deficits.

  1. Within each group the earlier team in the group when tied will advance
  2. When wildcards are tied the first wildcard will go lower team

The results

["56%", "55%", "55%", "55%", "54%", "55%", "61%", "59%", "56%", "55%", "61%", "59%", "56%", "55%"]
Third place goes to Group A 82% of the time
Third place goes to Group B 9% of the time
Third place goes to Group C 8% of the time

Fourth place goes to Group A 63% of the time
Fourth place goes to Group B 18% of the time
Fourth place goes to Group C 18% of the time
  • Group A has a 55% chance of advancing to the group of 16
  • Group B and C have a 58% chance of advancing.

There is 3% penalty for being in group A as opposed to the 10% penalty for just being in the East.