SpeedyWeather/SpeedyWeather.jl

Convection too weak?!

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I believe that there's currently some bug in the convection algorithm making the convection too weak and removing too little humidity / over too long a time frame, see video at T42 covering 100 days. Excess humidity is removed over O(months) insted of order (days) and the mm/hr are about a factor of 10-20x too low

convective_precipitation.mp4

@white-alistair

Hmm. Have you got a sense for whether this is likely due to convection not always being diagnosed when it should be, or the convection itself being too weak, or the convective precipitation being too weak?

Well convective precipitation only occurs when convection is diagnosed. Given it's raining in some tropical regions for 50 days non-stop, I don't think the diagnosis is the primary problem. I reckon it's the convection itself being too weak, or removing too little humidity hence it keeps on convecting and therefore precipitating. It's okay to start with convection everywhere in the tropics for the first days but it takes too long to reach the typical patchiness of convection in the real atmosphere, and mm/hr values should be higher, comparison:

image

So I'm expecting O(1mm/hr) as typical precipitation rate in convective cells in the tropics, currently it's not as patchy as it should be (note the satellite picture is half-hourly whereas the video frames have accumulated rainfall over 6 hours) and not as strong as it should be.

Maybe worth to follow Frierson, 2007 as this idealised convection scheme seems to be fairly similar to what we currently do, but might be better documented / is more modern than what we currently have.

This scheme starts with

image

with $T_{ref}$ and $q_{ref}$ being some reference profiles. They use

image

So we should follow the dry adiabat

$$T = T_0 \left(\frac{p}{p_0}\right)^{\frac{R}{c_p}}$$

till condensation $q = q^\star$ and then the moist adiabat

image

from here

#442 uses time_scale = Minute(10) for SpeedyConvection which makes a stronger convection and gives a similar strength of convection in comparision to large scale precip