/Martingale_Problem

A script I wrote to show how we underestimate the chance of a streak happening

Primary LanguagePython

Martingale_Problem

Casino strategy

There is a strategy that some gamblers uses when in a casino.

It goes by after a loss, they double the bet on the next attempt.

For example:

After a loss of 25$, the next bet would be a value of 50$. And if they continue to lose, they would continue to double it down until they win a hand.

The problem with that strategie, is that we often underestimate the chance of a losing streak to happen.

The script I wrote, shows the chance of a streak happening considering you're flipping a coin 200 times

Sources

º The Difficulty of Faking Data -by Theodore P. Hill

http://www.kkuniyuk.com/Math119FakingData.pdf

º Wizard Of Odds Streaks

https://wizardofodds.com/image/ask-the-wizard/streaks.pdf

º The Martingale problem - Vsauce

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DntEoGG7RyY&ab_channel=Vsauce2