3 hour tutorial - very basic on a mathematical level I talk about why quantification of uncertainty by probability is important and useful to know. I present two methods - Expert Knowledge Eliciation and Bayesian Analysis
This tutorial was given in Lund 10th of October 2018 I will give it in Stavanger on November 7th. The tutorial is part of a conference in risk https://www.uis.no/research-and-phd-studies/research-centres/seros-centre-for-risk-management-and-societal-safety/risk2018/ Contact me if you are interested in attending the tutorial ullrika.sahlin [at] cec.lu.se