/COVID-19-modeling

Modeling the spread of the disease COVID-19

Primary LanguageJupyter NotebookMIT LicenseMIT

Modeling the spread of COVID-19

Model

To model the spread of COVID-19, the very simple and widely used lgoistic function

Model

where

sigmoid

The parameters of the model are determined by least square regression using the dataset of the Johns Hopkins University.

Results

The estimate for the total number of cases, deaths, and the mortality for each country are given here. Furthermore, plots of the regression are available in the plots folder. The green line indicates the date of inflection for both the cases and infections.

Cases Germany

Deaths Germany