/AdpQMLE

Adaptive Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of GARCH models

Primary LanguageRMIT LicenseMIT

AdpQMLE

This package is related to the paper titled "Adaptive Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of GARCH models with student's t Likelihood".

Abstract: This paper proposes an adaptive quasi-maximum likelihood estimation when forecasting the volatility of financial data with the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model. When the distribution of volatility data is unspecified or heavy-tailed, we worked out adaptive quasi-maximum likelihood estimation based on data by using the scale parameter ηf to identify the discrepancy between wrongly specified innovation density and the true innovation density. With only a few assumptions, this adaptive approach is consistent and asymptotically normal. Moreover, it gains better efficiency under the condition that innovation error is heavy-tailed. Finally, simulation studies and an application show its advantage.