#Does people's ability to make probability forecasts imply that they have statistical models?
This work is a part of the Capstone project for my graduate degree. We use the data from experiments conducted by Gallistel et. al. for their study The perception of probability.
We start by replicating Gallistel et. al.'s modified changepoint algorithm, which we call the GKLML model. We then use alternate models from the forecasting literature that do not require any statistical models. The following models have have been implemented as a part of this repositary