/bayesian-football-match-prediction

Using Bayesian Modelling to predict Premier League football match wins. See Medium blog post.

Primary LanguageJupyter Notebook

bayesian-football-match-prediction

Using Bayesian Inference to predict football match wins.

There is also a notebook on non-bayesian methods for comparison. Using the tradiitional Logistic Regression, Random Forrest, XGBoost, CatBoost and SVC.

Medium article.

Full Posterior Samples

  • posterior_samples.RData contains the MCMC samples of the posterior distribution.

It can be loaded up into R.

Traceplots

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Moving Averages Plots

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