arjunswaj/elections

Elections Analysis

Table of contents

• Table of contents
• Analysis of General Elections 2024
  • Analysis
    • Seats contested by Parties
    • Max and Mins
      • Maximum votes for a candidate
      • Least votes for a winning candidate
      • Max votes for a losing candidate
      • Candidates winning by Max margin (Unilateral winner)
      • Candidates winning by Least margin (Fierce battle)
    • Max and Mins - Constituencies
      • Max Total Votes in a Constituency
      • Min Total Votes Constituency
      • Max candidates in a Constituency
      • Least candidates in a Constituency
    • Vote Shares
      • Total Vote Share of Parties
      • Maximum Vote share of Winning Candidate
      • Least Vote share for a winning candidate
      • Max Vote share of a losing candidate
      • Seats in which Parties lost deposits (less than 1/6 vote share)
    • Medals
      • Gold (Seats that Parties won)
      • Silver (Seats that Parties came in second)
    • Strike Rates
      • Cost per vote - Best Value per vote
      • Cost per vote - Worst Value per vote
      • Success Ratio - Best
      • Success Ratio - Worst
    • Multiple Seat Participation
      • Candidates participating in multiple seats (matches names)
      • Results of Candidates participating in multiple seats (at least 1 win)
    • Close Contest Matrix
      • Party Specific Close Contest Matrix
        • Bharatiya Janata Party
        • Indian National Congress
  • Building and Running
    • Scraping and downloading data
      • Tests
    • Data Analysis

Analysis of General Elections 2024

General elections were held in India from 19 April to 1 June 2024 in seven phases, to elect all 543 members of the Lok Sabha. Votes were counted and the result was declared on 4 June to form the 18th Lok Sabha (wiki).

This page provides the highlights of the results. Complete results of the analysis can be seen here.

Analysis

A total of 8360 candidates contested in the elections and around 64.5 Crores (645363445) votes were casted during this period.

Seats contested by Parties

Party	Number of candidates
Independent	3920
Bahujan Samaj Party	488
Bharatiya Janata Party	441
Indian National Congress	328
Socialist Unity Centre Of India (COMMUNIST)	150
Peoples Party of India (Democratic)	79
Samajwadi Party	71
Communist Party of India (Marxist)	52
All India Trinamool Congress	48
Bharatheeya Jawan Kisan Party	41

Max and Mins

Maximum votes for a candidate

Candidate	Party	Constituency	State	Number of Votes
RAKIBUL HUSSAIN	Indian National Congress	DHUBRI	ASSAM	1471885
SHANKAR LALWANI	Bharatiya Janata Party	INDORE	MADHYA PRADESH	1226751
SHIVRAJ SINGH CHOUHAN	Bharatiya Janata Party	VIDISHA	MADHYA PRADESH	1116460
DR C N MANJUNATH	Bharatiya Janata Party	BANGALORE RURAL	KARNATAKA	1079002
BRIJMOHAN AGRAWAL	Bharatiya Janata Party	RAIPUR	CHHATTISGARH	1050351

Least votes for a winning candidate

Candidate	Party	Constituency	State	Number of Votes
MUKESHKUMAR CHANDRAKAANT DALAL ( Uncontested )	Bharatiya Janata Party	SURAT	GUJARAT	0
MUHAMMED HAMDULLAH SAYEED	Indian National Congress	LAKSHADWEEP	LAKSHADWEEP	25726
PATEL UMESHBHAI BABUBHAI	Independent	DAMAN & DIU	DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI AND DAMAN & DIU	42523
MOHMAD HANEEFA	Independent	LADAKH	LADAKH	65259
BISHNU PADA RAY	Bharatiya Janata Party	ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS	ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS	102436

Max votes for a losing candidate

Candidate	Party	Constituency	State	Number of Votes
D K SURESH	Indian National Congress	BANGALORE RURAL	KARNATAKA	809355
NISITH PRAMANIK	Bharatiya Janata Party	COOCHBEHAR	WEST BENGAL	749125
RAJ BABBAR	Indian National Congress	GURGAON	HARYANA	733257
PROFESSOR M.V RAJEEV GOWDA	Indian National Congress	BANGALORE NORTH	KARNATAKA	726573
UTTAM BARIK SON OF LATE BIRENDRA BARIK	All India Trinamool Congress	KANTHI	WEST BENGAL	715431

Candidates winning by Max margin (Unilateral winner)

State	Constituency	Winner	Winning Party	Winner Votes	Runner Up	Runner Up Party	Runner up Votes	Vote Difference
ASSAM	DHUBRI	RAKIBUL HUSSAIN	Indian National Congress	1471885	MOHAMMED BADRUDDIN AJMAL	All India United Democratic Front	459409	1012476
MADHYA PRADESH	INDORE	SHANKAR LALWANI	Bharatiya Janata Party	1226751	NOTA	None of the Above	218674	1008077
MADHYA PRADESH	VIDISHA	SHIVRAJ SINGH CHOUHAN	Bharatiya Janata Party	1116460	PRATAPBHANU SHARMA	Indian National Congress	295052	821408
GUJARAT	NAVSARI	C R PATIL	Bharatiya Janata Party	1031065	NAISHADHBHAI BHUPATBHAI DESAI	Indian National Congress	257514	773551
GUJARAT	GANDHINAGAR	AMIT SHAH	Bharatiya Janata Party	1010972	SONAL RAMANBHAI PATEL	Indian National Congress	266256	744716

Candidates winning by Least margin (Fierce battle)

State	Constituency	Winner	Winning Party	Winner Votes	Runner Up	Runner Up Party	Runner up Votes	Vote Difference
MAHARASHTRA	MUMBAI NORTH WEST	RAVINDRA DATTARAM WAIKAR	Shiv Sena	452644	AMOL GAJANAN KIRTIKAR	Shiv Sena (Uddhav Balasaheb Thackrey)	452596	48
KERALA	ATTINGAL	ADV ADOOR PRAKASH	Indian National Congress	328051	V JOY	Communist Party of India (Marxist)	327367	684
ODISHA	JAJPUR	RABINDRA NARAYAN BEHERA	Bharatiya Janata Party	534239	SARMISTHA SETHI	Biju Janata Dal	532652	1587
RAJASTHAN	JAIPUR RURAL	RAO RAJENDRA SINGH	Bharatiya Janata Party	617877	ANIL CHOPRA	Indian National Congress	616262	1615
CHHATTISGARH	KANKER	BHOJRAJ NAG	Bharatiya Janata Party	597624	BIRESH THAKUR	Indian National Congress	595740	1884

Max and Mins - Constituencies

Max Total Votes in a Constituency

Constituency	State	Total Votes
DHUBRI	ASSAM	2453608
MALKAJGIRI	TELANGANA	1933843
BANGALORE RURAL	KARNATAKA	1919540
DARRANG-UDALGURI	ASSAM	1811200
BANGALORE NORTH	KARNATAKA	1752504

Min Total Votes Constituency

Constituency	State	Total Votes
SURAT	GUJARAT	0
LAKSHADWEEP	LAKSHADWEEP	49200
DAMAN & DIU	DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI AND DAMAN & DIU	92410
LADAKH	LADAKH	135524
ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS	ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS	202514

Max candidates in a Constituency

Constituency	State	Candidates
KARUR	TAMIL NADU	55
SECUNDERABAD	TELANGANA	46
MEDAK	TELANGANA	45
LUDHIANA	PUNJAB	44
CHEVELLA	TELANGANA	44

Least candidates in a Constituency

Constituency	State	Candidates
SURAT	GUJARAT	1
DIBRUGARH	ASSAM	4
BARDOLI	GUJARAT	4
NAGALAND	NAGALAND	4
LADAKH	LADAKH	4

Vote Shares

Total Vote Share of Parties

Party	Votes	Vote Share
Bharatiya Janata Party	235973935	36.5645
Indian National Congress	136759064	21.1910
Samajwadi Party	29549381	4.5787
All India Trinamool Congress	28213393	4.3717
Independent	17844442	2.7650

Maximum Vote share of Winning Candidate

Candidate	Party	Constituency	State	Vote Share
SHANKAR LALWANI	Bharatiya Janata Party	INDORE	MADHYA PRADESH	78.5388
C R PATIL	Bharatiya Janata Party	NAVSARI	GUJARAT	77.0477
SHIVRAJ SINGH CHOUHAN	Bharatiya Janata Party	VIDISHA	MADHYA PRADESH	76.6980
AMIT SHAH	Bharatiya Janata Party	GANDHINAGAR	GUJARAT	76.4844
BIPLAB KUMAR DEB	Bharatiya Janata Party	TRIPURA WEST	TRIPURA	72.8496

Least Vote share for a winning candidate

Candidate	Party	Constituency	State	Vote Share
SHER SINGH GHUBAYA	Indian National Congress	FIROZPUR	PUNJAB	23.6977
DR DHARAMVIRA GANDHI	Indian National Congress	PATIALA	PUNJAB	26.5351
GURJEET SINGH AUJLA	Indian National Congress	AMRITSAR	PUNJAB	28.1764
MALVINDER SINGH KANG	Aam Aadmi Party	ANANDPUR SAHIB	PUNJAB	29.0790
SARABJEET SINGH KHALSA	Independent	FARIDKOT	PUNJAB	29.3815

Max Vote share of a losing candidate

Candidate	Party	Constituency	State	Vote Share of Losing Candidate
ANIL CHOPRA	Indian National Congress	JAIPUR RURAL	RAJASTHAN	48.83
SHUBHKARAN CHOUDHARY	Bharatiya Janata Party	JHUNJHUNU	RAJASTHAN	47.81
DR. UMESH G JADHAV	Bharatiya Janata Party	GULBARGA	KARNATAKA	47.7
SANJAY TANDON	Bharatiya Janata Party	CHANDIGARH	CHANDIGARH	47.67
MANSOOR ALI KHAN	Indian National Congress	BANGALORE CENTRAL	KARNATAKA	47.57

Seats in which Parties lost deposits (less than 1/6 vote share)

Party	Number of Seats with less than 1/6 votes
Independent	3904
Bahujan Samaj Party	476
Socialist Unity Centre Of India (COMMUNIST)	150
Peoples Party of India (Democratic)	79
Indian National Congress	51

Medals

Gold (Seats that Parties won)

Party	Number of Seats Won
Bharatiya Janata Party	240
Indian National Congress	99
Samajwadi Party	37
All India Trinamool Congress	29
Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam	22
Telugu Desam	16
Janata Dal (United)	12
Shiv Sena (Uddhav Balasaheb Thackrey)	9
Nationalist Congress Party – Sharadchandra Pawar	8
Independent	7
Shiv Sena	7
Lok Janshakti Party(Ram Vilas)	5

Silver (Seats that Parties came in second)

Party	Number of Seats Won
Indian National Congress	167
Bharatiya Janata Party	153
Samajwadi Party	24
All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam	24
Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party	21
Biju Janata Dal	21
Rashtriya Janata Dal	18
Communist Party of India (Marxist)	17
All India Trinamool Congress	13
Aam Aadmi Party	13
Shiv Sena (Uddhav Balasaheb Thackrey)	10
Shiv Sena	8
Independent	5
Communist Party of India	4
Janata Dal (United)	4

Strike Rates

A candidate could spend a max 95 Lakhs during campaigning. Assuming candidate has maxed out the purse below.

Cost per vote - Best Value per vote

Party	Total Spent	Total Votes	Cost per vote
Telugu Desam	161500000	12775270	12.6416
Janasena Party	19000000	1454138	13.0662
Janata Dal (Secular)	28500000	2173701	13.1113
Asom Gana Parishad	19000000	1298707	14.6299
Rashtriya Loktantrik Party	9500000	596955	15.9141

Cost per vote - Worst Value per vote

Party	Total Spent	Total Votes	Cost per vote
Indian Praja Congress	9500000	141	67375.8865
Telangana Prajaa Jeevana Rythu Party	9500000	141	67375.8865
All India Backward People Sunami Party	9500000	210	45238.0952
Rashtriya Jatigat Aarakshan Virodhi Party	9500000	215	44186.0465
Rashtriya Mangalam Party	9500000	257	36964.9805

Success Ratio - Best

Party	Seats Participated	Seats Won	Success Ratio
Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam	22	22	100.0000
Lok Janshakti Party(Ram Vilas)	5	5	100.0000
Indian Union Muslim League	3	3	100.0000
Janasena Party	2	2	100.0000
Rashtriya Lok Dal	2	2	100.0000
Hindustani Awam Morcha (Secular)	1	1	100.0000
Kerala Congress	1	1	100.0000
Marumalarchi Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam	1	1	100.0000
Rashtriya Loktantrik Party	1	1	100.0000
Sikkim Krantikari Morcha	1	1	100.0000
United People’s Party Liberal	1	1	100.0000
Voice of the People Party	1	1	100.0000
Zoram People’s Movement	1	1	100.0000
Telugu Desam	17	16	94.1176
Janata Dal (United)	16	12	75.0000
Nationalist Congress Party – Sharadchandra Pawar	12	8	66.6667
Jammu & Kashmir National Conference	3	2	66.6667
Janata Dal (Secular)	3	2	66.6667
All India Trinamool Congress	48	29	60.4167
Bharatiya Janata Party	441	240	54.4218
Samajwadi Party	71	37	52.1127

Success Ratio - Worst

Party	Seats Participated	Seats Won	Success Ratio
Independent	532	7	1.3158
Aazad Samaj Party (Kanshi Ram)	26	1	3.8462
Bharat Adivasi Party	22	1	4.5455
Communist Party of India	30	2	6.6667
All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen	15	1	6.6667
Communist Party of India (Marxist)	52	4	7.6923
Shiromani Akali Dal	13	1	7.6923
Revolutionary Socialist Party	10	1	10.0000
Aam Aadmi Party	22	3	13.6364
Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi	13	2	15.3846
Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party	25	4	16.0000
Rashtriya Janata Dal	24	4	16.6667
Nationalist Congress Party	5	1	20.0000
Communist Party of India (Marxist-Leninist) (Liberation)	7	2	28.5714
Indian National Congress	328	99	30.1829
AJSU Party	3	1	33.3333
Shiv Sena (Uddhav Balasaheb Thackrey)	21	9	42.8571
Shiv Sena	15	7	46.6667

Multiple Seat Participation

Candidates participating in multiple seats (matches names)

Candidate	Number of Constituencies Contested at
ARUN KUMAR	5
MANOJ KUMAR	4
PRADEEP KUMAR	4
PRAMOD KUMAR	4
RAJKUMAR	4
VIJAY KUMAR	4
ASHOK KUMAR	3
PARAMJIT SINGH	3
RAJESH	3
SATPAL	3
SHRIDHAR NARAYAN SALVE	3
SUNIL KUMAR	3
SURENDER SINGH	3

Results of Candidates participating in multiple seats (at least 1 win)

Candidate	Constituency	State	Party	Result
PRASUN BANERJEE	HOWRAH	WEST BENGAL	All India Trinamool Congress	WON
RAHUL GANDHI	WAYANAD	KERALA	Indian National Congress	WON
RAHUL GANDHI	RAE BARELI	UTTAR PRADESH	Indian National Congress	WON
PRASUN BANERJEE	MALDAHA UTTAR	WEST BENGAL	All India Trinamool Congress	LOST

Close Contest Matrix

This Matrix provides the number of seats in which parties lost by the number of votes provided in the columns.

PARTY	< 500	< 2500	< 5000	< 10000	< 15000	< 25000	< 50000
Aam Aadmi Party	0	0	1	1	2	2	6
All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
All India Trinamool Congress	0	0	0	1	2	3	5
Bharatiya Janata Party	0	0	5	8	10	21	43
Biju Janata Dal	0	1	1	1	1	2	4
Communist Party of India	0	0	0	0	1	1	1
Communist Party of India (Marxist)	0	1	1	1	1	1	1
Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam	0	0	1	1	1	1	1
Indian National Congress	0	2	4	4	5	9	27
Janata Dal (Secular)	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Janata Dal (United)	0	0	0	0	0	1	2
Nationalist Congress Party – Sharadchandra Pawar	0	0	1	1	1	1	2
Pattali Makkal Katchi	0	0	0	0	0	1	1
Rashtriya Janata Dal	0	0	0	0	1	2	3
Samajwadi Party	0	0	2	2	3	4	13
Shiv Sena (Uddhav Balasaheb Thackrey)	1	1	1	1	2	2	4

Party Specific Close Contest Matrix

Bharatiya Janata Party

Constituency	State	Runner up Party Votes	Winning Party	Winning Party Votes	Vote Difference
CHANDIGARH	CHANDIGARH	214153	Indian National Congress	216657	2504
HAMIRPUR	UTTAR PRADESH	488054	Samajwadi Party	490683	2629
SALEMPUR	UTTAR PRADESH	401899	Samajwadi Party	405472	3573
DHULE	MAHARASHTRA	580035	Indian National Congress	583866	3831
DHAURAHRA	UTTAR PRADESH	439294	Samajwadi Party	443743	4449
DAMAN & DIU	DADRA & NAGAR HAVELI AND DAMAN & DIU	36298	Independent	42523	6225
ARAMBAGH	WEST BENGAL	706188	All India Trinamool Congress	712587	6399
BEED	MAHARASHTRA	677397	Nationalist Congress Party – Sharadchandra Pawar	683950	6553
SOUTH GOA	GOA	204301	Indian National Congress	217836	13535
THIRUPATHI	ANDHRA PRADESH	617659	Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party	632228	14569

Indian National Congress

Constituency	State	Runner up Party Votes	Winning Party	Winning Party Votes	Vote Difference
JAIPUR RURAL	RAJASTHAN	616262	Bharatiya Janata Party	617877	1615
KANKER	CHHATTISGARH	595740	Bharatiya Janata Party	597624	1884
BANSGAON	UTTAR PRADESH	425543	Bharatiya Janata Party	428693	3150
MAHBUBNAGAR	TELANGANA	506247	Bharatiya Janata Party	510747	4500
ANANDPUR SAHIB	PUNJAB	302371	Aam Aadmi Party	313217	10846

Building and Running

Scraping and downloading data

cabal build
cabal run elections

Tests

cabal test

Data Analysis

Create table executing Queries.sql and then run other SQL queries in the queries directory to see the result.