Contestants will attempt to exploit these patterns in order to predict the voting for the 2010 Eurovision Song Contest.
Before solve this problem, i will enumerate some forcast methods the following below:
- Arithmetic Mean Method
- Random Walk Method
- Seasonal Random Walk Method
- Random Walk with Drift Method
- Forecasting Accuracy
- Exponential Smoothing Methods
- Simple Moving Average Method
- Brown Simple Exponential Smoothing Method
- Holt Linear Trend Method
- Exponential Trend Method
- Gardner Additive Damped Trend Method
- Taylor Multiplicative Damped Trend Method
- Holt-Winters Additive Seasonality Method
- Holt-Winters Multiplicative Seasonality Method
- Methods Selection
- Methods Forecasting Accuracy
- Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average Models
- First Order Trend Stationary Time Series
- ARIMA Model Specification
- Random Walk with Drift ARIMA Model
- Differentiated First Order ARIMA Model
- Brown Simple Exponential Smoothing ARIMA Model
- Holt Linear Trend ARIMA Model
- Gardner Additive Damped Trend ARIMA Model
- Seasonal Random Walk with Drift SARIMA Model
- Seasonally Differentiated First Order SARIMA Model
- Holt-Winters Additive Seasonality SARIMA Model
- Models Selection
- Models Forecasting Accuracy
- Residuals White Noise
I will make clear & analytics methods above in forcasting model before solve this problem