Predict number of students on private and public school in Hawaii
In this project, I want to determined the best time series model to predict number of students. For both data, I perform similar analysis such as:
- Stasionary Test & Differencing: I difference the data until it is stationary.
- Construct Possible Model
- Choose model with lowest AIC & BIC
- Seasonal Model Check
- Residual Check: independent Test, normality Test, residual is white noise or not, model variance < data variance.
- Overfitting Check
- Cross Validation
- Forecasting