/gambling-soccer

DS-GA-1003 project

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gambling-soccer

DS-GA-1003 project

Some problems observed from logistic prediction

  • Draw games are seldom predicted correctly (almost 100 percent wrong)
  • Model seldom predicts a outcome to be draw
  • Beta feature rectify one game prediction to be correct, reason?

Next inspection step

  • Consider the teams occupied in each wrong prediction

Idea

  • Add player information, e.g. which players have played in a given game, might use embedding roster (like CBOW)
  • for nonlinear model, just use a bit value to label teams is fine