jonathanmckinnell/COVID-19-forecasting-dashboard

COVID-19 forecasting dashboard using data from John Hopkins University, PHE and www.gov.uk. An NHS Bed forecasting model for England is also added to the UK table and plotted. There is also a notebook for forecasting the Italy COVID-19 cases which implements a logistic model, and exponential model, and tries the fb prophet model. Important note: Please note that the case forecasting and bed forecasting model is experimental and not yet validated (as cases have not yet arrived since the model is being developed as the pandemic unfolds). The model is only as good as its assumptions and starting data both of which are likely to have limitations, especially this early in the pandemic and therefore it should not be used for clinical decision making.

Jupyter NotebookMIT