Stratify curve simulation by severity
Closed this issue · 2 comments
jrgant commented
Need to stratify the curve simulations to produce two sets of hypothetical influenza hospitalization curves: one for High/Moderate and on for Low severity seasons.
jrgant commented
Stratification has been implemented.
However, simulated curves from Low severity seasons somehow have a higher mean hospitalization count than High/Moderate.
Possible issues:
- Bug that results in function not correctly sampling the specified severity type
- Issue with the trend filter predictions produced by each historical season (lambda value or other issue)
- Only 4 low-severity seasons available... too much variance?
jrgant commented
We'll be moving this to a sensitivity analysis. The comment above (#2 (comment)) has been addressed.