/Deepbios

Evolving computational sustainability in rapidly changing exploited ecosystems

Primary LanguageTeX

Deepbios

Sustainability discovery in eco-evolutionary diversification-inspired federated networks Sustainability discovery in eco-evolutionary diversification-inspired exploited ecosystems

Workflow (open, decentralized, reproducible)

plot

Simulation protocol

  1. Julia Evodynamics implementation (path)
  2. Test data: North sea (ID)
  3. Expoitation function (applied to fishing: check the global fishing watch) https://globalfishingwatch.org/map/?latitude=19&longitude=26&zoom=1.5&start=2021-04-16T00%3A00%3A00.000Z&end=2021-07-16T00%3A00%3A00.000Z
  4. Allometric relationship age-Body mass (M) or Body mass (M)-length(L): commercial species with age-length data
  5. Initial distributions age
  6. Initial conditions: trait change range, migration range and randomly selected pair of species
  7. Min distance to the empirical data (age distribution per site)
  8. OUTPUT : Distribution of interaction strength; Migration distribution; trait evolution distribution

Link to the data

(Sustainability of the Oceans) https://drive.switch.ch/index.php/s/XtYYz37O3pqs8s1

(Fishing data) https://globalfishingwatch.org/data-download/ https://globalfishingwatch.org/data-download/datasets/public-fishing-effort

GOAL

Implementation of eco-evolutionary diversification-inspired solutions to perform computational sustainability causal infernce and discovery based on rapidly diversifying traits and interactions. The exploitation of emerging interactions, strategies and traits will allow us to create novel discovery solutions for natural ecosystems facing sustainability challenges like overexploitation of the ocean, where harvesting renewable resources are beyond the diminishing returns for many species and ecosystem resources.

Main question

How does diversification in technology and traits discover novel paths for resource sustainability in species-rich ecosystems? plot

METHODS

  1. Standarize data to account for units, missing data and sampling bias
  2. Bayesian probabilitic causal graph (BPCG) accounting for sampling heterogeneity and bias.

For example, technology in the form of gears in fishing can be represented as a node and new technologies improving catchability or other fishing properties can be modeled as diversifying to explore novel paths (See cartoon in Main question)

  1. Write down the full BPCG as conditional probability tables from each node (i.e., drawn given the parent node and the data) from which we can estimate differential strength between each gear and each fish species. Data comes from the data to fill out the BPCG to explore the total sampling heterogeneity and bias.

  2. BPCG for species as nodes along geographical gradients (i.e., countries). Species interactions list connecting parents for each country

  3. KINN (Knowledge Informed Neural Network

Run Evodynamics.jl with bottom up migration and mutation (diversification) rates

WORKING PAPER https://www.overleaf.com/project/5f772ed0806c630001fffc3a

WORK IN PROGRESS

Two and three species cases

First example: three species of gadidos, which must have a strong interaction

Gadus morhua (Atlantic Cod) AphiaID: 126436 Merlangus merlangius (Whiting) AphiaID: 126438 Melanogrammus aeglefinus (Haddock) AphiaID: 126437

Maps

Second example PacoB, [10.05.21 12:23] Second example (case study): a species of gadido and a flat fish, which have different catchability according to the different fishing gear used by the different countries

PacoB, [10.05.21 12:23] Melanogrammus aeglefinus (Haddock) AphiaID: 126437

PacoB, [10.05.21 12:24] Lepidorhombus whiffiagonis (Megrim) AphiaID: 127146

Third example: two cogeneric species of flatfish

PacoB, [10.05.21 12:27] Lepidorhombus whiffiagonis (Megrim) AphiaID: 127146

PacoB, [10.05.21 12:28] Lepidorhombus boscii (Four-Spotted Megrim) AphiaID: 127145

Fourth example: two cogeneric species of monkfish

PacoB, [10.05.21 12:30] Lophius piscatorius (Anglerfish / Monk) AphiaID: 126555

PacoB, [10.05.21 12:30] Lophius budegassa (Black-bellied Anglerfish) AphiaID: 126554

PacoB, [10.05.21 12:31] [ File : MON_XL_NS.png ]

PacoB, [10.05.21 12:31] [ File : WAF_XL_NS.png ]

Fifth example: two species with a wide range of distribution, which probably have interaction

PacoB, [10.05.21 12:34] Merluccius merluccius (European hake)AphiaID: 126484

PacoB, [10.05.21 12:36] Micromesistius poutassou (Blue whiting) AphiaID: 126439