- Expanding Mean, Median, Median(365 days) - 1.614
- 1 + lag1-3 statusCode, teamid, change status code 2-4 - 1.553
- 2 + dayofweek - 1.561
- 2 + tr_scores2 - lag1 - 1.475
- 4 + lag 2 - 1.460
- 5 + tr_scores - lag1 - 1.465
- 4 + lastnsum (2, 7, 30, 90) - 1.456
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Improve single model
- Add game type, current team standing and opposing team standing
- transaction to and from teams
- avg velocity, angle and distance
- final team1 score, team2 score, std in diff of scores at each innings end
- other statcast features
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Rigorous validation
- Check score on June, July (Impact of changing windows, cleaning of featuresm hyperparams)
- Impact of adding more training data on July validation
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Look out for august specific things
- 2019 - July score v/s august score ???