natashamathur/texas_blue

Quantifies the impact of supporting gun control on Democratic vote share in Texas

Texas-Blue

Contributors:

• Saptarshi Ghose
• Natasha Mathur

Question:

What is the effect of having a pro-gun-control stance on Democratic two-party vote share when running for office in Texas?

Treatment:

Whether the candidate supports progressive gun control measures

Controls considered:

• Whether the candidate is male
• Whether the candidate is Hispanic
• Whether the office was held by a Democratic incumbent
• Whether the candidate supports a progressive minimum wage policy
• Office, County, district, and year fixed effects

Elections Analyzed:

• 2016 House and Presidential elections
• 2014 House and Senate elections

Included Files:

This repository makes use of Python 3.6, the package beautifulsoup4, and R. If any of the Jupyter notebooks do not load correctly please enter the link for the notebook here.

• sec_final_project.R - Final models and output

• final_data_for_model_1.csv - Information for the 2016 and 2014 house, senate, and presidential election along with controls

• Science of Elections Writeup.pdf - Discussion of the methods, reasoning, models, and results used in this analysis.

• put_data_together.ipynb - Used to data from all the years and elections with control factors.

• county_scraper.ipynb - Data collected on districts in each county

• prelim_models.ipynb - Initial data collection and analysis