/jFitnessBot

A botliga.de client based on team fitness estimations

Primary LanguageJava

This is a botliga client which will estimate the Result of a soccer game based on team performance indicators.

The algorithm ist based on following thoughts.

- The total number of goals shot in a soccer match is distributed according to a poission distribution.

- There is a home field advantage which might have a season based and a team based component

- The generell fitness of a team can be estimated by the average goal difference per match.
  (Taking into account that some teams played a different league the season before)

- Beyond fitness ther are factors like weather conditions, injuries, red/yellow cards which have an
  influence on the result.

- The are some motivation based factors like "a series of matches won/lost", or intra match factors leading to
  a risen probability of 1:1 results.