/skat-probability

Some probability calculation on the Skat game. Card game related source code was stolen directly from sbking.

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skat-probability

Some probability calculation on the Skat game. Card game related source code was stolen directly from sbking.

Probability of:

Buben split 1/1 between hand 2 and hand 3 GIVEN hand 1 and skat have 2 buben: ~53%

Reasoning: Give one Bube to one of hands 2 or 3. Now there are 19 remaining cards to deal: 9 of them will make 2 Buben in the same hand and 10 of them will split them, so split probability equals 10/19 = ~53%

Trump suit distribution probability GIVEN hand 1 and skat have 5 trumps (and 6 trumps remaining):

  • 6/0: ~01%
  • 5/1: ~13%
  • 4/2: ~49%
  • 3/3: ~37%

Non-Trump suit distribution probability GIVEN hand 1 and skat have 3 of that suit (and 4 cards remaining):

  • 4/0: ~09%
  • 3/1: ~49%
  • 2/2: ~42%