投注策略|投资战略和计数|机数造物鉴别

在此愚生从7M和NowGoal.com赔率资讯网上採撷赔率数据，欲知更多详情请查阅WebDriver-DynamicWebpage-Scrapping.并且使用凯利标准计数|机数尤物，从模拟与回测中可以获利超过三成。

一、简介

投注策略|投资战略和计数|机数造物鉴别，愚生尝试分析一家高频量化对冲基金（在此称之为”公司甲“）的投注策略并尝试跟单。

数据中Return（注单结算金额）和PL（盈利）并没有分类并扣除抽佣（佣金、价差、回馈、返水）rebates，佣金的计算方式是根据投注金额（并没有计算赢和输）达到一定的门槛后就会有指定比率的金额回馈。根据投注金额的多寡门槛表来支付佣金，是博彩庄和代理商之间合作占据市场份额的营销策略。

一般上，佣金rebates只出现在信用网市场亚洲博彩庄。
一般上，单注最高投注金额在现金网市场大概是一万港币，而信用网单注金额可以高达一百万港币。
一般上，只有那些出货量（也就是投注金额）多的总代理、中型或大型博彩庄且有信誉（结算后可以支付贸易来往）才会有高频量化对冲基金看上，因为高频量化对冲基金的投注金额非常多。

二、科研案例

第二章第一节、第一部

「猫城」自然语言分析（英）：Applied NLP to filter team name.

第二章第二节、第二部

Betting Strategy and Model Validation - Part I (Sep-2016), (Alternative Link) : Analyse the staking breakdown.

第二章第三节、第三部

Betting Strategy and Model Validation - Part II (Notes : The latest Rmd files lost but only html file available)
- Kindly click on regressionApps to use the ShinyApp
- Kindly click on KellyApps to use the ShinyApp
- <iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/42NOxuYjOQo" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
- <iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/NDUkg4jHmiA" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
- ~~Kindly refer to [English Soccer League] for analysis on only English soccer which is pretest on my personal research.~~
- You are feel free to browse over the summary of Kelly investment fund BRSum (BRSum.Op, BRSum.Hi, BRSum.Lo, BRSum.Cl, BRSum.Vo, BRSum.Ad).
- Extention : summarise the comparison of Kelly fund due to the BSMV II heavily loading...

三、备份旧著作

I splited below file to be two part as list above since there are a lot of gragh and high volume dataset. The Return and PL columns suddenly noticed wrong figure and cause the profit of below files are not accurate. Secondly, the old files are not completed as it only stop at section 3 which just a breakdown display and summary of staking data but section 4 and so fort analyse the dataset.

Kindly refer to new files in section [2. Case Study] to know the profit and return of firm A from agent A.

Betting Strategy and Model Validation (Old) (Remarks: Initially one file, but due to file size and finally seperate to few sections and files.)
Betting Strategy and Model Validation - Part I (Aug-2016)
Miscellaneous : Introduction of R Packages
Miscellaneous : Introduction of R Packages (Shiny)
Miscellaneous : Unable display highchart at html format
Betting Strategy and Model Validation - Part II (Sep-2017), (Alternative Link)
Due to KellyApps shiny app heavily loading, below video is the original file.

四、科研前瞻

借鉴第二章第三节、第三部，在闪霓应用上应用「猫城」在蹴鞠彩券投注模式|投资战略中，使用凯利标准计数|机数尤物（英）。
採撷网站蹴鞠数据，包括蹴鞠队名、文本分析、自动化。
编写个类似Writing a website to apply the staking model which is similar with http://www.matchodds.org 自动筹算、占卜、投注、结算、盈亏表的一条龙服务高频量化对冲自动化网站。

scibrokes/betting-strategy-and-model-validation