OSIC-Pulmonary-Fibrosis-Progression-16th-solution

I only used tabular features, didn't use CT scans or other meta data. I don't have enough time to extract, and my computer is not good at all, so I just do my best on tabular data.

Input Feature

Numerical Feature

  • target_week

  • base_Week

  • base_FVC

  • base_Percent

  • Age

  • weeks_passed: target_week - base_week

  • Height: (base_FVC / 933.33 + 0.026 * Age +2.89) / 0.0443

  • FEV: $\begin{cases} 0.84 * FVC - 0.23 \text{, if Sex = Male}\ 0.84 * FVC - 0.36 \text{, if Sex = Female} \end{cases}$

  • percent_reciprocal: 1 / base_Percent

  • FEV_ratio: FEV / base_FVC

  • percent_ratio: base_FVC / base_Percent

Categorical Feature

Because there are few categories, so I just use one hot encoding.

  • Female
  • Male
  • Currently smokes
  • Ex-smoker
  • Never smoked

Confidence Prediction

Using quantile LGBM Regressor with alpha = [0.75, 0.25] to subtract.

FVC Prediction

img

TODO