Data for our investigation into Wisconsin's dropout prediction algorithms

This contains the data we obtained through public records requests for the story "False Alarm: How Wisconsin Uses Race and Income to Label Students 'High Risk'"

Wisconsin’s Department of Public Instruction maintains two predictive early warning systems for students. The Dropout Early Warning System (DEWS) predicts the likelihood that a student will graduate from high school on time. The College and Career Readiness Early Warning System (CCREWS) predicts whether students are ready for the ACT or college.

The “DEWS_outcomes_aggregated” dataset contains aggregate DEWS risk predictions from 2011 through 2021 broken down by academic year, district, grade, and student race.

The “CCREWS_outcomes_aggregated” dataset contains aggregate risk predictions from 2017 through 2021 broken down by academic year, district, grade, and student race.

Both datasets were provided by the Wisconsin Department of Public Instruction in response to a public records request. DPI redacted the aggregate student risk counts in some instances to preserve student privacy.

Data dictionary for “DEWS_outcomes_aggregated”

Column Description
SCHOOL_YEAR The academic year the predictions were made
STUDENT_GRADE The school grade level
DISTRICT_CODE Wisconsin Department of Instruction’s code for the district
SCHOOL_DISTRICT The name of the school district
STUDENT_RACE The racial/ethnic group
STUDENT_RISK_OUTCOME The predicted likelihood that a student won’t graduate from high school on time, designated as “Low,” “Moderate,” or “High” risk
STUDENT_COUNT The number of students in a given racial/ethnic group assigned to a given risk category
STUDENT_TOTAL_COUNT The number of students of a given race in a given year, district, and grade level
TOTAL_COUNT This column is not used

For more information, see Wisconsin DPI's page on DEWS.

Data dictionary for “CCREWS_outcomes_aggregated”

Column Description
SCHOOL_YEAR The academic year the predictions were made
STUDENT_GRADE The school grade level
DISTRICT_CODE Wisconsin Department of Instruction’s code for the district
SCHOOL_DISTRICT The name of the school district
STUDENT_RACE The racial/ethnic group
TYPE Which outcome is being predicted. Predictions about whether a student will enroll in a four-year college degree program are represented by “college.” Predictions about ACT readiness are represented by “3 of 4,” to indicate whether a student will meet the college enrollment benchmark in three out of four ACT subjects (English, math, reading, and science), or “4 of 4” to indicate whether a student will meet the benchmark in all four subjects.
STUDENT_RISK_OUTCOME CCREWS’ prediction about whether a student will or won’t achieve the given outcome, designated as “ready” or “not_ready”
STUDENT_COUNT The number of students in a given racial/ethnic group assigned to a given risk category
STUDENT_TOTAL_COUNT The number of students of a given race in a given year, district, and grade level
TOTAL_COUNT This column is not used

For more information, see Wisconsin DPI's page on CCREWS.