Brexit-marketValue

Usually market data models are shaped with historical series of market trends in order to predict their evolution.

Can we really predict market prices? Do exist a correlation between investors sentiment and market performance? How the "Twitter sentiment" can help to predict the future value of a currency?

Purpose

Given 4 weeks of GBP/EUR market value and the tweets with hashtag #brexit from the same timespan:

  • find the tweet's sentiment (positive or negative) for each day
  • define a predictive model that describe the data (HMM)

About

This repository contain all the code and setup for the master degree CS course: MODELLI PROBABILISTICI PER LE DECISIONI 1617-1-F1801Q127, University of Milano Bicocca.

Members: Marco, Marco, Renzo Group: gnabgib