Most important files: ens_util - the python script that generates all probabilities brier_score_decomposition_benchmark - Benchmark model brier scores brier_score_decomposition_ensemble - ensemble method brier scores reliability_benchmark - benchmark reliability diagrams reliability_weighted - ensemble method reliability diagrams solar_simple_weightci - simple average solar forecast brier scores and reliability diagrams solar_weighted_weightci - power weighted solar forecast brier scores and reliability diagrams The *weightprob solar forecast files show the probability-weighted method of doing the solar forecasts. We decided the CI-weighted method is appropriate instead, so these files can be ignored.