Price Trend Prediction Using Deep Learning
This software implements the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) to predict the price movement using high frequency limit order data. For details, please refer to my report Price Trend Prediction Using Deep Learning.
Requirements
- The program is written in Python, and uses pytorch, scikit-learn, pandas and numpy.
- If necessary, run
pip install -r requirements.txt
. - A GPU is not necessary, but can provide a significant speed up especially for training a new model.
Usage
RNN model
This example trains a multi-layer RNN (Basic or LSTM) on a price movement prediction task.
The code is tested under Windows 10 Anaconda 3 and reproducible.
python rnn.py # Train a two layers LSTM on asset a’s LOB data, running default epoch of 50
python rnn.py --model=RNN_TANH # Train a two layers basic RNN model with tanh activation function
python rnn.py --symbol=b --epochs=30 # Train a two layers LSTM on asset b’s LOB data, running epoch of 30
After training, it will print out the performance measures in test set, as well as the plots of loss and kappa in both train and valid set after each epoch.
During training, if a keyboard interrupt (Ctrl-C) is received, training is stopped and the current model is evaluated against the test dataset.
The rnn.py
script accepts the following arguments:
optional arguments:
-h, --help show this help message and exit
--data DATA location of the market data
--model MODEL type of recurrent net (RNN_TANH, RNN_RELU, LSTM, GRU)
--symbol SYMBOL symbol of asset (a, b)
--nhid NHID number of hidden units per layer
--nlayers NLAYERS number of layers
--lr LR initial learning rate
—-decay DECAY learning rate dacay
--clip CLIP gradient clipping
--epochs EPOCHS upper epoch limit
--bsz BSZ batch size
--bptt BPTT sequence length
--nsample NSAMPLE size of training set after subsample
--dropout DROPOUT dropout applied to layers (0 = no dropout)
--seed SEED random seed
--log-interval N report interval
--save SAVE path to save the final model
CNN model
Training CNN model is quiet similar to training a RNN model.
Train model
python cnn.py # Train a CNN model on asset a’s LOB data, running default epoch of 50
The cnn.py
script accepts the following arguments:
optional arguments:
-h, --help show this help message and exit
--data DATA location of the market data
--symbol SYMBOL symbol of asset (a, b)s
--lr LR initial learning rate
—-decay DECAY learning rate dacay
--epochs EPOCHS upper epoch limit
--bsz N batch size
--bptt BPTT sequence length
--nsample NSAMPLE size of training set after subsample
--dropout DROPOUT dropout applied to layers (0 = no dropout)
--seed SEED random seed
--log-interval N report interval
--save SAVE path to save the final model