ylzhang29/UpstateSU-GRU-Covid

Covid-19 Forecast from SUNY Upstate Medical University and Syracuse University Team

UpstateSU-GRU COVID-19 Forecast

COVID-19 Forecast from SUNY Upstate Medical University and Syracuse University Team

Methods: National and county-level COVID-19 forecast using recurrent neural network seq2seq model with the Gated recurrent units (GRU). Details see https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8077584/

Historical Performance between January 1st, 2021 & May 1st, 2021

Prediction of incident cases

Prediction of incident deaths

Forecasts: 30 Days Ahead Cases, Deaths and R

View US National And County-Level Forecast

Visualize Additional Forecast Results

County-Level Predictions of R values, Cases and Deaths For The Next 4 Weeks on Chloropleth US Map

Visualize How Our Model Contributed To The Ensemble Model That CDC Uses

Additional Information on the Ensemble Forecast And Participating Teams

• CDC Ensemble Model Forecasting team and assumptions
• The COVID-19 Forecat Hub by The Reich Lab

Links to CDC COVID-19 Weekly Forecast for US, states and counties: cases and deaths

UpstateSU Team Members:

• Yanli Zhang-James (SUNY Upstate Medical University) zhangy@upstate.edu,
• Asif Salekin (Syracuse University) asalekin@syr.edu,
• Jonathan Hess (SUNY Upstate Medical University) hessjlmsg@gmail.com,
• Samuel Chen (SUNY Upstate Medical University) ChenSa@upstate.edu,
• Dongliang Wang (SUNY Upstate Medical University) WangD@upstate.edu,
• Christopher P. Morley (SUNY Upstate Medical University) MorleyCP@upstate.edu,
• Stephen V Faraone (SUNY Upstate Medical University) sfaraone@childpsychresearch.org